Natural Sciences >> Integrative BiologyEstimation of Population Size Using the MarkRecapture Methodby Sarafina Musto
Submitted : Fall 2014 In this investigation, the population of mosquitoes in a given area is estimated using the MarkRecapture Method in order to update the information regarding the control of mosquitoborne pathogens. Mathematical equations are used in order to calculate an estimate of the population, the probability of finding a given amount of marked mosquitoes through recapture, and also a maximum likelihood estimate of the population given the data. The estimate of the mosquito population was found to be 100, and this was confirmed to be a maximum likelihood estimate. Additionally, the probability of finding 40 marked mosquitoes in a sample of 80 mosquitoes in an area with a population of 100 mosquitoes was found to be 1.05 x 10^{9}. Using the methods employed in this investigation, scientists may take action in order to prevent mosquitoborne pathogens in any given area.
